
Soybean futures rose to near a seven-month high on shrinking South American production outlooks, with private analysts cutting Paraguay and southern Brazil forecasts. Corn and wheat fell, with March SRW wheat down 9 1/4 cents to $7.60 3/4.
Lower South American crop estimates tighten global soybean supplies, supporting meal and oil prices. Weakness in corn and wheat reflects spillover and profit-taking.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, SBM moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybean futures rose to near a seven-month high as analysts cut South American (Paraguay, southern Brazil) crop forecasts, a supply-side driver that lifts soybean complex prices including meal.