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Corn, soybean and wheat futures closed sharply higher, with corn setting new contract highs. Drivers cited included slow planting, unfavorable April weather forecasts, the Ukraine war, dryness in Brazil's safrinha crop, Chinese demand, dry Plains conditions hurting HRW wheat ratings, and high vegetable oil prices.
Weather-related planting delays and crop stress in key producing regions tighten grain and oilseed supplies, supporting feed prices for buyers.
kyfb.comApr 18, 2022After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Event is dated a week before the 2022-04-25 move, but it describes the same bullish supply-side drivers (dry Plains hurting HRW ratings, slow planting, Ukraine war disruption) that likely carried into and fueled the 8.36% jump; the timing gap limits attribution to this specific day.
