
Corn futures rose 3 to 4 cents midmorning on spillover from a rallying wheat market. Brazilian domestic corn prices reached their highest since April 2022 and are up about 24% this year, with tight stocks ahead of the safrinha harvest.
Soymeal fell about $1.50 while soyoil firmed, and the market awaited the NOPA crush report.
Tight Brazilian corn stocks and high domestic prices support export competitiveness for US corn and lift global feed grain prices. Weaker soymeal reflects expectations of a weak crush report, while firmer soyoil points to a shift in crush margins.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On March 17 corn rose 3-4 cents on spillover from the wheat rally, while Brazilian domestic corn prices hit their highest since April 2022 on tight stocks ahead of safrinha, which supports a rebound in the window.