
Soybean oil and soybean prices fell during the week of July 31 under pressure from increased South American supplies and favorable US weather. Chinese soybean meal prices dropped nearly 8% in July, and palm and rapeseed oil also weakened, with Brent crude down about 10% over the month.
Ample soybean supply and better US crop prospects are pushing down vegetable oil and meal prices globally. Cheaper protein meal and vegetable oils lower feed input costs for buyers.
After 363 past bearish weather events, SOY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, SBO moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, SBM moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 29 past bearish weather events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.2% to +0.6%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Week-of-July-31 report attributes soybean and soyoil declines to bigger South American supply and favorable US weather, directly describing the supply-driven selloff.