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Malaysian palm oil futures for September delivery closed 4.1% lower at 3,398 ringgit a tonne after sharp gains the previous session. The drop followed a fall in CBOT soyoil, which slipped 2.4%, on an improved weather outlook for the US Midwest crop belt.
Dalian soyoil and palm contracts also declined.
A better US Midwest weather outlook lowers the risk premium on soybean oil, and palm oil follows as a substitute vegetable oil. Expect continued downward pressure on vegetable oil prices unless the weather outlook deteriorates.
brecorder.comReutersJun 16, 2021brecorder.comReutersJun 16, 2021After 29 past bearish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.2% to +0.6%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soyoil slipped 2.4% on an improved Midwest weather outlook, with weaker palm and Dalian oils adding to the pressure.
