
US corn and soybean futures declined as weekend rains in the Corn Belt improved soil moisture in dry areas. Crude oil and gold weakness and a firmer dollar also pressured the markets, with December corn at $5.53-3/4 and November soybeans at $13.29-3/4.
The USDA rated 64% of corn as good to excellent, up two points.
Improved soil moisture lowers yield risk and weaker crude reduces biofuel-linked demand support for corn and soyoil. Expectations of a USDA production cut in the coming report limit the downside.
After 357 past bearish weather events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, SOY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, SBO moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 17 past bearish weather events, WTI moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.9%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.