
Wheat prices plunged as US harvest yields were projected at record highs, adding to a global supply surplus. Kansas City wheat fell as low as $4.31 a bushel, and other major exporters were undercutting US prices.
Crude oil fell to around $46 a barrel after a recent rally.
Record US yields and large global stocks point to continued wheat export price pressure. Lower crude also reduces energy costs and the value of biofuel-linked demand.
After 70 past bearish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and -1.1% over 20.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 17 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.9%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.