
CBOT most-active soybean futures fell 31 cents, or 2.2%, to $13.85-3/4 a bushel, their biggest drop since October 12, 2020. Rains across Brazil and Argentina improved the supply outlook, and CBOT soymeal and soyoil also declined.
USDA announced export sales of 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for 2021/22 shipment.
Improved South American rainfall reduces yield risk for the main export competitor, pressuring soybean and soymeal prices. The China purchase provides some offsetting demand support for the new crop.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 49 past bearish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.