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Fastmarkets reports that world soybean production has fallen over the last two years, mainly from severe weather including La Niña, which cut South American yields and affected US output. Argentine crushing slowed, with volumes down about ten percent year on year in July, and Chinese crush margins were negative.
Lower world supply and slower crush cut meal output, while expected US crush expansion and biofuel-driven soyoil demand point to weaker soybean meal prices and firmer soyoil.
fastmarkets.comTore AldenOct 24, 2022After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
