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Feedstock prices reached record highs, led by soybean oil above 75 cents per pound. Dry weather in key South American growing regions cut supply expectations.
Renewable diesel capacity in the US is forecast to rise sharply by the end of 2022, squeezing producer margins.
Drought-hit South American supply combined with surging biofuel feedstock demand keeps vegetable oil prices elevated and compresses renewable diesel margins.
fastmarkets.comRyan StandardMar 7, 2022After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
