
Vegetable oil prices hit an all-time high, with the FAO reporting a 4.2% rise in January. Soybean, palm and canola oils all rose, driven by extreme weather in South America and Southeast Asia.
Drought in Argentina and Brazil and flooding in Malaysia have cut oilseed and palm supplies, supporting higher prices across vegetable oils and related feed inputs.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record vegetable oil prices from weather problems in South America and Southeast Asia (FAO data) set a bullish backdrop that fed momentum in soyoil.