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Palm oil futures in Malaysia rose to a three-week high on flooding in southern states that could cut output and expectations of higher Indonesian consumption as Jakarta plans to curb domestic oil sales. Chicago soybean oil gained 1.1% on dry-weather forecasts for Argentina, while Brent fell 2.9% to $84.9/bbl on rate-hike expectations.
Supply risk from Malaysian flooding and Indonesian policy supports palm and soy oil prices, while weaker crude and rate expectations cap gains.
ukragroconsult.comJan 31, 2023After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 10 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.9% to +4.6%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
