
Rapeseed, sunflower and palm oil prices have risen in recent months amid weather pressures and US tariff uncertainty. Analysts cite volatility from the trade war with major vegetable oil trading partners, and palm prices reached their highest since July 2022 in February due to dry weather in Malaysia and Indonesia.
Broad vegetable oil strength raises input costs for feed and oilseed meal users and suggests continued upward pressure on palm and rapeseed oil prices.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.