
CBOT soybean oil futures rose 13.1% month-on-month to USD 1,667/MT on November 2, 2022, driven by La Niña concerns for South American output and a US crop estimate cut. Rising crude prices and low EU buyer coverage added to the upward move.
Tighter global oilseed supply and buyers scrambling for cover point to firm soybean oil prices, while uncertainty over the Black Sea corridor could further lift alternative vegetable oil demand.
After 184 past bullish weather events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.