Soybean futures hit two-year highs after USDA cut projected US soybean yields by about 1 million tons in its September report. USDA raised its projected soybean price to $9.25 per bushel and corn to $3.50, with dry weather in Iowa and the August derecho cutting yield expectations.
Lower US yields and higher projected prices raise feed grain and soymeal costs for buyers, with continued strength expected while dry conditions and strong export demand persist.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybean futures hit two-year highs after USDA's yield cut and dry weather and derecho damage in Iowa, which supported soy complex prices including meal.