Corn and soybean futures rose last week after earlier declines, on rumors of dry weather in the US Midwest. Soybeans climbed about $1.60 a bushel from a May 31 low, and 45% of major crop areas were in some stage of drought by June 6.
Dryness fears and falling crop ratings lift feed grain prices, while USDA kept trend-line yields, leaving the weather as the main upside risk for corn and soymeal costs.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn and soybean futures rallied on US Midwest dryness fears, with soybeans up sharply from the May 31 low, a direct supply-risk driver for soybean meal in the days up to June 20.