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Farm Press reported that high temperatures and dry weather in the Midwest could hinder crop development. NASS cut its 2022 soybean acreage forecast to 88.3 million acres from 91 million in March, a larger drop than expected, and North Dakota farmers could not plant an estimated 1.1 million acres of soybeans due to flooding.
A smaller-than-expected soybean area combined with heat risk tightens supply expectations, supporting soybean and soybean meal prices.
farmprogress.comForrest LawsJul 25, 2022After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, SBM moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
NASS cut soybean acreage well below expectations while heat and dryness threatened crop development, tightening supply expectations.
Heat and dryness in the Midwest and a larger-than-expected cut in soybean acreage tightened expected US supply.
