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A Buenos Aires Grain Exchange report puts Argentina's 2022-23 soybean production at 21 million tons, down 51.5% year on year and the lowest since records began in 2000. Yields fell 45% to 15.4 quintals per hectare after drought and high temperatures.
The government estimates losses of around US$20 billion.
A roughly halving of one of the world's largest soymeal and soyoil exporters' crops removes significant export supply from the market. This is a major bullish driver for soybean meal and soybeans.
batimes.com.arJames GraingerJul 4, 2023After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, SBM moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
