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EU rapeseed crop is turning out smaller than expected after repeated heatwaves, with disappointing yields and downward crop revisions in several countries. Czech harvest yields are running well below last year, and Czech output may fall to 850-900 thousand tonnes.
Smaller EU supply, plus firmer crude and Ukrainian export risk, is supporting rapeseed prices despite a projected record global crop. Tighter EU availability tends to lift MATIF rapeseed and related meal and oil values.
rapool.comJul 29, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 40 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.3%), and +6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
