
Malaysian palm oil futures rose on hot weather in Malaysia, strong export data and firmer rival oils. The July contract closed up 25 ringgit at 3,969 ringgit per ton, and Indonesian exports are expected to recover in April.
Hot weather can reduce palm yields, and stronger soyoil and crude prices support biodiesel feedstock demand. Both factors lift palm oil prices.
After 181 past bullish weather events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 40 past bullish weather events, WTI moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.3%), and +6.1% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.