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Oil markets opened higher on Sunday evening after Hurricane Ida shut much of Gulf of Mexico output. S&P Global Platts, citing BSEE data, said about 96% of Gulf oil production was offline, and roughly 4.4 million barrels/day of refining capacity lay in the storm's path.
ULSD rose 3.79 cents/gallon, or 1.8%, to $2.1471.
A near-total loss of Gulf production and refining capacity tightens crude and product supply, lifting diesel and fuel costs that feed into freight and feed-ingredient transport. The move is strongest in products, where refinery outages are most acute.
freightwaves.comJohn KingstonAug 30, 2021After 40 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.3%), and +6.1% over 20.
After 24 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +2.8% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -1.9% to +5.2%), and +6.3% over 20.
After 39 past bullish weather events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +2.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -4.5% to +6.1%), and +8.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
