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A winter storm knocked out power to millions of US homes and businesses and forced Texas refineries to cut gasoline and diesel output. Heating oil futures rose 4.3% and natural gas futures climbed 2.5% in response to the cold and supply disruptions.
Refinery and gas output losses tighten diesel and energy supply, lifting transport and drying costs for feed operations in the short term.
reuters.comErwin Seba, Scott DisavinoDec 23, 2022After 39 past bullish weather events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +2.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -4.5% to +6.1%), and +8.9% over 20.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 40 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.3%), and +6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
