
U.S. natural gas futures rose 4.4% on Tuesday as hot spring weather in the Southern U.S. tightened an already concerned market. Storage supplies are below normal just as the industry typically builds inventory for winter.
Prices have more than doubled this year and could rise at least another 25% during summer cooling demand.
Heat-driven power burn plus strong LNG feedgas pull on supply with flat production points to higher natural gas costs, which raise energy and fertilizer input costs for feed producers.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.