
November natural gas futures settled at $3.474/MMBtu on Tuesday after swinging between $3.357 and $3.504. Traders responded to colder GFS and European model updates following a sharp Monday rally, and production dipped.
Colder model runs are lifting expected heating demand, supporting natural gas prices and therefore energy costs for feed processors and grain driers. Near-term forecasts show only moderate demand, so the rally remains sensitive to model reversals.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.