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About 82% of Gulf of Mexico oil production was halted ahead of Hurricane Laura, and refinery closures could shut in more than 1 million barrels per day of capacity. Gasoline futures rose to their strongest level since before the pandemic on fears of fuel shortages, and crude rose 0.7% in New York and 1.8% in London.
Large Gulf output and refinery shutdowns tighten near-term crude and fuel supply, which lifts energy prices. The effect is temporary once production restarts, but it raises diesel and freight costs for feed buyers.
bloomberg.comAndres Guerra LuzAug 23, 2020After 40 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.3%), and +6.1% over 20.
After 24 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +2.8% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -1.9% to +5.2%), and +6.3% over 20.
After 39 past bullish weather events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +2.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -4.5% to +6.1%), and +8.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
