
Storm Francine shut in a large share of Gulf of Mexico oil output on Thursday. WTI futures rose $1.66 (2.5%) to settle at $68.97 per barrel, and Brent rose $1.36 (1.9%) to $71.97.
Lost offshore output tightens near-term crude supply, which lifts crude prices and raises input costs for diesel and fuel-linked feed logistics.
After 40 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.3%), and +6.1% over 20.
After 24 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +2.8% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -1.9% to +5.2%), and +6.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Storm Francine shut in a large share of US Gulf of Mexico crude output on 2024-09-12, a direct supply disruption that lifted Brent that day.