
Hurricane Michael cut 42 percent of U.S. Gulf of Mexico daily crude output and nearly a third of natural gas output, the largest reductions in a year. Companies evacuated staff and shut in platforms ahead of the storm.
A large loss of Gulf supply tightens crude and natural gas markets, raising energy costs for feed production and transport.
After 40 past bullish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -3.7% to +5.3%), and +6.1% over 20.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.