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Wheat futures rose over 2% to March highs on the back of cold, dry and unusual US weather affecting red winter wheat. Export sales of 297.2kt in the week ending April 19 beat analyst expectations.
The dollar index rose modestly over the same period.
Weather damage to HRW wheat in the largest exporter supports prices and raises the cost of wheat-based feed ingredients. A firmer dollar partly offsets the gains for non-US buyers.
economies.comRami HaddadApr 30, 2018After 322 past bullish weather events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 15 past bullish weather events, DXY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes wheat rising over 2% to March highs on April 30 because of cold, dry US weather hurting hard red winter wheat (supply risk), matching the move.
