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U.S. spring wheat futures on MGEX rose 3.4% on June 28 to top $7 a bushel for the first time in nearly three years. Crop conditions in the northern Plains deteriorated sharply over the past month due to hot, dry weather, while Midwest rains weighed on corn.
Poor northern Plains spring wheat conditions reduce premium high-protein supply, supporting wheat prices and feed substitution costs. Beneficial Midwest rains provided a bearish offset for corn.
grainews.caGFM Network NewsJun 28, 2017After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
