
Chicago soybean futures fell to a 2020 low on Wednesday while corn hovered near a four-year low, as favorable U.S. crop conditions capped prices. Multiple soybean and corn contracts hit lifetime lows as weather forecasts showed limited threats to summer crops.
Traders expect the USDA to raise U.S. corn ending stocks and production estimates in its monthly report on Friday.
Good crop ratings and expected upward USDA revisions point to ample supply, pressuring corn and soybean prices lower. Feed buyers can expect cheap corn and meal in the near term.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybeans hit 2020 lows on July 10 as favorable US crop conditions and limited weather threats drove supply-side selling and fund liquidation.