
US soybean futures eased from a five-week high as rains in Argentina and southern Brazil improved crop prospects for rival exporters. Brazil is expected to harvest a record crop, and China has increasingly turned to Brazil over the US amid the trade war.
The Phase One deal, announced Dec. 13, is set to be signed in early January.
Improved South American crop prospects add supply competition for US exports and weigh on soybean and meal prices.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.