
CBOT soybean and corn futures fell on Friday as weather forecasts showed rain for the central US, easing heat and dryness concerns. Wheat dipped as strong US spring wheat projections and cheap Black Sea offers outweighed rain damage to western EU harvests.
Improved Midwest weather outlook reduces the risk premium in corn and soybeans, while cheap Black Sea wheat caps export competitiveness for other origins.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.