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U.S. wheat futures fell to six-week lows as rain and snow reached drought-hit southern Plains, including Kansas. K.C. hard red winter wheat dropped more than 5%, and corn and soybeans also sagged as funds liquidated longs and rains reached Argentina's soy belt.
Moisture relieves the drought risk that had supported Plains wheat, reducing the weather premium in HRW and SRW prices. Lower soybean prices also reflect easing dryness in Argentina.
grainews.caGFM Network NewsMar 19, 2018After 70 past bearish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and -1.1% over 20.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports KC HRW wheat dropped more than 5% as rain and snow reached the drought-hit southern Plains and funds liquidated longs, which matches the size and cause of the move.This is the most direct explanation.
Reports soybeans sagging as funds liquidated longs and rain reached Argentina's soy belt, in a broad grain selloff that matches the move.
