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Minneapolis spring wheat, which led the 2017 grain rally, has been pushed by northwestern Plains drought. DTN compares the current price path with 1988, when prices peaked long before drought eased.
Prices are now falling as drought worsens.
Spring wheat prices appear to be peaking early in the drought, so the rally may be fading before the crop is fully lost. Traders should expect volatility and a possible decline.
dtnpf.comTodd HultmanAug 1, 2017After 334 past bearish weather events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
