New-crop wheat and barley values fell by as much as $30 per tonne in eastern Australia, driven by trade selling ahead of a rain front. Victoria received up to 25mm of rain, and parts of New South Wales and Queensland were forecast to get 10-30mm.
Sorghum, wheat and barley all sold off sharply.
Rain improves the outlook for dry-sown and new crops, which reduces the supply risk premium that had built into prices and pushes Australian feedgrain values lower.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.