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US natural gas prices fell in sympathy with oil after Israel's limited retaliatory strikes on Iran, which analysts said reduced geopolitical risk premium. Analysts also cited rising production versus demand and warmer-than-normal November forecasts that eroded expected heating demand.
Easing Middle East risk removes premium from crude and gas, while warmer weather cuts expected heating demand. Both factors point to lower near-term energy prices.
rigzone.comAndreas ExarheasOct 29, 2024After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 17 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.9%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
