WTI settled down $1.39 (2.6%) at $52.33 and Brent fell $1.35 to $55.47 as traders awaited OPEC compliance data. Natural gas futures dropped nearly 11% to $3.327 per mmBtu on warmer weather forecasts that cut heating demand.
Warmer forecasts reduce near-term heating demand and pressure gas prices, while doubts about OPEC output cuts weigh on crude.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 17 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.9%), and +2.9% over 20.
After 10 past bearish weather events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.9% to +4.6%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.