
October natural gas futures settled at $1.835 per MMBtu, down 21.3 cents, the first close below $2.00 since early August. The decline followed lower LNG feed gas flows, a seasonal maintenance outage at Cove Point LNG and forecasts of milder Midwest temperatures.
Lower LNG feed gas demand and milder weather reduce near-term gas prices, which eases energy and fertilizer costs for feed producers. The effect is mostly on the energy complex.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
October futures fell 21.3 cents to $1.835 on lower LNG feedgas, Cove Point maintenance and milder forecasts, which is the immediate preceding sell-off that fed the volatility.