
December Nymex natural gas futures fell for a fifth straight day to settle at $2.663/MMBtu, with Henry Hub spot dropping below $1.50 for the first time at the start of the heating season. The decline followed mild weather and a delay in the Golden Pass LNG startup to 2026.
Weak physical prices and delayed LNG export demand point to continued bearish pressure on US gas, which lowers energy costs for grain and feed processors.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 13 past neutral weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +4.7%), and +6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.