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UK, Continental European and US Gulf Coast LNG gas prices jumped to summer-season highs. US domestic gas prices also rose on a forecast July heatwave expected to boost cooling demand.
Hotter forecasts increase gas-fired power demand and global LNG pull, supporting energy input costs. The price effect on feed commodities is indirect.
After 13 past neutral weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +4.7%), and +6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.