
CNBC reports US natural gas futures for February delivery rose 17.7% to $6.21/MMBtu, the first time above $6 since December 2022. Winter Storm Fern left over 822,000 customers without power and forced mass flight cancellations, with wind chills forecast as low as -50F across the eastern two-thirds of the US.
A multi-year high in gas prices driven by extreme cold raises energy and fertilizer costs and can lift feed-processing operating expenses.
After 30 past bullish weather events, Urea moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.6%), and +9.1% over 20.
After 13 past neutral weather events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +4.7%), and +6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.