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US natural gas prices fell below $2.00/MMBtu on January 20 for the first time since 2016 and have stayed near $1.92. Ten of the past eleven weeks have been warmer than normal, delaying the cold weather that would normally lift prices.
Mild weather is removing the seasonal demand support for gas, keeping energy costs low for feed mills and grain drying. The move is mainly a price-driven weather story with little direct feed price impact.
forbes.comJude ClementeFeb 6, 2020After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
