
Front-month February Henry Hub natural gas forward prices fell $1.156 to $3.541/MMBtu over the Dec. 30 to Jan.
7 period, with Chicago Citygate and Houston Ship Channel also declining sharply. Mild weather reduced heating demand while supply stayed elevated and storage sat above average.
Milder forecasts curb heating demand for natural gas, and ample supply keeps the market loose, pressuring gas prices. Lower natural gas costs can ease feed-processing and fertilizer input costs, but gas-linked feed ingredients like nitrogen-based products may see softer pricing pressure.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.