Loading…
Natural gas forward prices declined across the board from January 16 to 22 as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market. February prompt prices fell by an average of 53.2 cents, with Rockies and Northwest hubs leading the drop.
Freeze-offs peaked at 8.9 Bcf during Winter Storm Enzo, about half the scale of January 2024's losses.
Forward curve weakness signals the market expects adequate supply through winter and summer, which keeps forward energy costs contained for feed mills. The limited freeze-off losses reinforce that outlook.
naturalgasintel.comAndrew BakerJan 23, 2025After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Forward prices fell as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market, with freeze-offs about half the 2024 scale, which eased supply-risk premium.
