Loading…
Soybeans closed up 20 to 27 cents on Monday after the US and China agreed to cut tariffs by 115 percentage points for 90 days, with the US rate on Chinese goods falling to 30% and China's to 10%. The May WASDE showed old-crop soybean ending stocks of 295 million bushels, well below trade estimates, and new-crop production of 4.34 billion bushels.
Tighter old-crop stocks and the tariff relief support soybean, meal and oil prices, while the large new-crop production estimate caps further gains.
barchart.comAustin SchroederMay 12, 2025After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
