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Soybeans rose sharply on July 31, with August 2018 through 2019 contracts back above $9 a bushel, on technical buying and talk of US-China trade discussions between Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Vice Premier Liu. Corn was modestly higher, and crop stress concerns were noted for both crops, with the USDA's first survey-based corn estimate due August 10.
Chinese tariffs have cut US soybean demand, so a deal to resume purchases would be bullish, while weaker Chinese crush margins argue against near-term buying. Warm, dry forecasts for pod-setting add upside risk to soybeans and meal.
brownfieldagnews.comJul 31, 2018After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
