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Soybeans rose sharply on a 90-day reduction in reciprocal tariffs between the US and China, described as an agreement in principle. USDA data showed old-crop soybean ending stocks lower and first new-crop stocks below the current marketing year, with Mexico buying 120,000 tons of US beans.
The tariff truce reopens the largest soybean export outlet to China and the tighter USDA stocks support prices for soybeans, meal and oil.
brownfieldagnews.comJohn PerkinsMay 12, 2025After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
