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Chinese state-owned firms bought at least 1 million tonnes of U.S. soybeans, a day after high-level bilateral talks progressed toward a trade deal. The cargoes are slated for April to July shipment, mostly from U.S. Gulf Coast terminals.
Purchases by state firms are believed to be for state reserves and so avoid the 25% tariff that still applies to commercial crushers.
Large state-directed buying gives U.S. soybean exports a firm demand floor and eases the surplus that built up after China halted purchases. Tariff-exempt state buying also shows how reserve purchases can bypass the tariff for commercial crushers.
reuters.comKarl PlumeFeb 2, 2019After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
