Short-Term Palm Boost After China Tariff on US Soybeans: Traders

After 133 past bullish trade events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.

• Oct 23, 2019Palm oil jumps to 16-month high as China’s waivers boost soy | The Star+0.9%
• Apr 4, 2018CPO to gain from China’s soybean import tariff | The Star+0.3%
• Jun 10, 2025India, China seen aggressively buying palm oil in short term, industry expert says+2.1%
• Jul 2, 2024Soy Oil Rallies on Prospect for Indonesia, China Trade Spat+0.1%
• Jun 3, 2025Drewry - Maritime Research Opinions - Costlier palm oil could continue to fuel long-haul trade of soybean oil+1.4%

After 224 past bullish trade events, SBO moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Oct 27, 2025After the Bell | Soybeans surge on trade deal news - Pro Farmer-1.9%
• Oct 23, 2019Palm oil jumps to 16-month high as China’s waivers boost soy | The Star+0.5%
• Apr 4, 2018CPO to gain from China’s soybean import tariff | The Star-1.5%
• May 12, 2025Soybeans surge on temporary tariff cut - Brownfield Ag News-0.4%
• Jul 12, 2018Importers snap up cheap U.S. soybeans as China stops buying-0.9%

After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Apr 13, 2018China traders, farmers shrug off risk of US soybeans tariff | AP News-2.2%
• Mar 9, 2018China says U.S. soybeans 'prime target' over tariffs: trade group-1.2%
• Sep 28, 2026Grains fall as traders seek China buying signs after tariff cuts-0.8%
• Jun 16, 2018China hikes tariffs on US soybeans, electric cars, fish | AP News-1.2%
• Nov 12, 2025China's soybean glut could defeat US export hopes after trade thaw | Reuters+3.6%