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China's 25% retaliatory tariffs on US soybeans took effect and pushed US prices down. Chinese buyers accounted for only 17% of advance purchases of the US fall crop, versus a 60% decade average, while importers bought cheap US beans and Brazilian beans sold at premiums of up to $1.50 a bushel.
Tariffs cut Chinese demand for US soybeans and shift trade flows toward Brazil, which weighs on US soybean prices and supports Brazilian export premiums.
thejacobsen.comBob LaneJul 16, 2018
reuters.comKarl PlumeJul 12, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
